05/03/2026
Prior to the current escalation in the Strait of Hormuz, the playbook was already in motion. Shipping through Bab el-Mandeb and the Suez Canal dropped sharply after sustained Houthi attacks, including more than 100 against merchant vessels in the Red Sea since November 2023.
The attacks were asymmetric, from threats like one-way drones, small fast-attack craft, uncrewed surface vessels, anti-ship missiles, and dark vessels operating with spoofed or disabled AIS.
We’ve learned:
• Congested maritime environments are incredibly difficult and complex to monitor and secure.
• Bad actors are relentless in finding and exploiting gaps in our surveillance capabilities with small, fast, low-signature, hard-to-detect threats.
We need:
• Persistent, wide-area coverage that doesn’t depend entirely on constant operator attention
• Autonomous sensor operation with AI-driven detection and tracking of small, ambiguous targets, at scale
• Real-time, actionable intelligence versus raw video feeds
• Autonomous systems that operate beyond human limits to keep pace with evolving threats